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AIAFArtificial Intelligence. Accelerated Future.

AIAF methodology · Beta

A signal with its assumptions exposed.

AIAF Index and Progress Watch: scores, scope and evidence →

AI Progress Watch follows selected evidence-backed developments worldwide across capability, autonomy, reliability and real-world impact. The Index accompanies this coverage with explicitly labelled editorial scores. It is not a comprehensive global benchmark or a percentage of progress toward AGI.

  1. Evidence first.Primary sources, credible reporting and reproducible research receive the greatest weight.
  2. No false precision.The Index is an editorial summary, read alongside Progress Watch evidence and limitations. Historical scores are labelled; future scores need a published calculation and traceable rationale.
  3. Forecasts stay fixed.Every forecast states its probability, deadline and resolution rule before the outcome is known.
  4. The Ledger remembers.Original forecasts remain visible and are resolved as correct, incorrect or unresolved with linked evidence.
  5. Human oversight.Routine AI-assisted updates may be published under the owner’s standing instructions. Disputed claims and material editorial decisions require owner review.
  6. Corrections stay visible.Material corrections will be dated, explained and linked to the affected article.