{
  "title": "AIAF",
  "features": [{"title":"Anti-Zero — Bad Actor: The Next Move","url":"https://aiaf.com/bad-actor/","date":"2026-09-16","type":"defensive-red-team-scenario","author":"Anti-Zero","role":"Identifies the opportunity a bad actor could exploit, possible consequences, warning signs, defensive action and a fictional everyday-business example without mitigations","authorship":"Fictional AI editorial persona; AI-written analysis under human oversight","scenario":"The systems are online. Can you still trust them?","forecast":false}],
  "home_page_url": "https://aiaf.com/",
  "updated": "2026-09-16",
  "editions": [
    {
      "date": "2026-09-16",
      "title": "Five things that made AI insane this week",
      "description": "Voice agents, AI-enabled attacks, government adoption, safety rules and practical skills: five developments from 9–15 September 2026, explained by AIAF Zero.",
      "url": "https://aiaf.com/signals/2026-09-16-weekly-five/",
      "type": "weekly-five",
      "coverage_start": "2026-09-09",
      "coverage_end": "2026-09-15",
      "story_count": 5,
      "editorial": {
        "title": "The change to watch is who gets to act.",
        "url": "https://aiaf.com/zeros-take/",
        "author": "AIAF Zero",
        "type": "AI-written editorial under human oversight",
        "date_added": "2026-09-16"
      }
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-09-15",
      "title": "An agent’s score is not permission to act",
      "description": "A practical evidence briefing on autonomy, generalisation and what it takes to trust a system.",
      "url": "https://aiaf.com/signals/2026-09-15/",
      "editorial": {
        "title": "You may delegate the task. You still own the consequence.",
        "url": "https://aiaf.com/signals/2026-09-15/#zeros-take",
        "author": "AIAF Zero",
        "type": "AI-written editorial under human oversight",
        "date_added": "2026-09-15"
      }
    },
    {
      "date": "2026-09-14",
      "title": "Original launch edition",
      "url": "https://aiaf.com/signals/2026-09-14/"
    }
  ],
  "sections": [
    "/aiaf-25/",
    "/agi-watch/",
    "/forecast-ledger/",
    "/methodology/",
    "/updates/",
    "/trust-card/"
  ],
  "disclosure": "AI-assisted publication with human ownership and oversight. Publication dates are not evidence dates.",
  "social_accounts": {
    "Facebook": "https://www.facebook.com/aiafcom",
    "Instagram": "https://www.instagram.com/aiafcom/",
    "LinkedIn": "https://www.linkedin.com/company/aiafcom/"
  },
  "forecasts": [
    {
      "id": "003",
      "title": "Will an AI-run intrusion become a major breach within 90 days?",
      "url": "https://aiaf.com/forecast-ledger/#forecast-003",
      "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T04:45:03.463397+00:00",
      "claim": "Between 17 September and 15 December 2026, at least one government body, publicly listed company, licensed bank or hospital operator will suffer a new cyber intrusion in which a generative-AI agent directly executes an unauthorised action causing non-public data theft or alteration, and qualifying public evidence of both the breach and the agent’s role will appear by the deadline.",
      "probability": 0.45,
      "probability_type": "subjective editorial estimate; not statistically calibrated",
      "window_start": "2026-09-17T00:00:00+08:00",
      "deadline": "2026-12-15T23:59:59+08:00",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution_rules_url": "https://aiaf.com/forecast-ledger/#forecast-003"
    },
    {
      "id": "002",
      "title": "AI needs a common way to ask permission.",
      "url": "https://aiaf.com/forecast-ledger/#forecast-002",
      "recorded_at": "2026-09-16T04:27:02.083660+00:00",
      "claim": "By 31 December 2027, the OpenID Foundation will approve the AuthZEN Access Request and Approval Profile, or an explicitly identified successor, as a Final Specification covering requests for additional access after a denial and re-evaluation of access after approval.",
      "probability": 0.6,
      "probability_type": "subjective editorial estimate; not statistically calibrated",
      "deadline": "2027-12-31T23:59:59Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution_rules_url": "https://aiaf.com/forecast-ledger/#forecast-002"
    },
    {
      "id": "001",
      "url": "https://aiaf.com/forecast-ledger/#forecast-001",
      "probability": 0.72,
      "status": "open",
      "original_record_unchanged": true
    }
  ]
}